DJIMstocks.com- DJ Interactive Markets

We couldn't go to the bathroom today.  Literally!  . plus, should we be writing our note in Chinese?.   Oh just in case anyone hasn't noticed, there was not one, but TWO, 40%+ gainer for DJIM today.    EFUT/ CAAS ...Lock these up as 2 more DJIM benchmark 25% + moves.  As we have stated and stressed during the weekend, this is the kind of time where you make your double digit gains in your portfolio and clean it up around turkey time.     For a couple days back in October, we were joking that this November may not be compared to the Novembers of the past.   Boy oh boy, we definitely got more than we bargained for last few days.    And, we are not even half way through November.     Ok on to some obvious and not so obvious plays...

EFUT, we were fortunate enough to start trading this one at the beginning of Friday, about 13 points ago! . You've made a pretty penny even if you bought the close with us Friday when we were adding.  Simply put, we haven't seen a mover like this for quite some time now.    This in some way rivals the TZOO of the past.     Breathtaking, stunning and spectacular finish.   Can this gap up tomorrow and pull another good move?   It's possible and we think it's more than probable that it will.    The only drawback about this one is that you have to be there on every tick, literally.

CAAS, this one was noted in pre-mkt off earnings and frankly it's not a bad thing just to get your feet in this one in the early going.    What it did during the last half an hour is another display of EFUTistic move.    By the way, both CAAS and EFUT had one very ingredient in common, tiny float.   Once again, gap candidate as we pointed out before the close.  The action AH is the gap at work, this is what we were expecting. The same reasoning behind introducing EFUT 10 minutes before close on Friday. There is nothing wrong with adding to strength, we almost always do it near the close.  Sometimes the strength turns into a nice move the next day, sometimes into a crazy run like seen in EFUT today.

DLB +3% / CMT, good follow-up from both stocks.

RIMM/BIDU , so RIMM had its move and now we think BIDU may get its turn.   

other stocks exhibiting strength from the DJIM bin include AAON 5%, ATNI  RVBD 4% SINA 3% DIVX  GROW  FTEK SRVY.

MEK made a nice recovery, still be careful with this segment now.  Go with stronger sec...china stocks

Back in October, we stated that November is seasonally a strong quarter for small caps.     Near the end of October, we stated that we just could not wait till the small cap earning season to start.    Well, we aren't disappointed, so far.       Maybe  it seems that all we had to do is to come back from a 8 month vacation and trade from November till February.    Now that would just be too easy plus we could have missed all the DJIM action from late August..just go to the Journal Archive.  The truth is, without the hard grind of the summer, without going through the emotional roller coaster with the market from the first trading day of the year, none of us would stay as focused, or sharp when the time mattered the most.     Well, here we are now.   We have had literally a stream of awesome small cap action last few days and we are trying our best to make the most out of it.    It means all out for us.    Folks, if you hadn't committed much time, energy, capital or effort into the market last few days, we'd say you are gonna be sorry a few months down the road.     Here are some plays we really like that showed up last little while...

ATNI, this is definitely not a flashy stock like some of the other heavy hitters.    It has very good earnings and it moves in stealth mode.   Before you know it, this thing can move 20% without making any kind of headline.    It broke out on Friday and we are keeping a close eye on this one. We added back. Friday looked like the day it would break all those candle wicks on the daily. http://djmarkets.squarespace.com/journal/2006/11/1/atni-atlantic-tele-network.html

GMKT, this stock had a very powerful move on its earning day and it smelled lots of institutions stepping in to bid it up.    A very sexy business and a dominant player in its area and with the holiday coming up, we think this one is gonna be in play for a while.

DLB, wow what a report this one had.   Ok, this isn't exactly a small cap but man you gotta give those guys a thumb up on their execution.   It took out multi year high, literally in one day of trading.    Now it may not give you another 33% gain day anymore but we bet it caught lots of people's attention on Friday.

Reports Q4 (Sep) earnings of $0.22 per share, $0.11 better than the Reuters Estimates consensus of $0.11; revenues rose 29.4% year/year to $102.1 mln vs the $83.8 mln consensus. Co issues upside guidance for FY07, sees EPS of $0.83-0.92 vs. $0.75 consensus; sees FY07 revs of $420-450 mln vs. $405.67 mln consensus.

MEK, it made it to IBD #5.   How will trade from now on?   We think it could trade with the group but with a better beta action.   Other plays we also consider in the same genre include BTJ ALY FTK. http://djmarkets.squarespace.com/journal/2006/11/7/mek.html

TRT, ah ha!    This one is not an unfamiliar name, far from it.     The latest quarter simply confirms the status of the stock, it's not going to be a micro cap anymore.   Bring it on Zeff boy!.  Nothing new to say, just scroll down our pages or go to the archives to get your TRT fill.

EDU, didn't we say this one could make some easy money?  Lol  Ok, nothing is easy in this business.   What this stock did the last few days, is simply giving back to all the believers and followers of DJIM site. Same as TRT, you can find your fill of EDU write ups as it seemingly has been with us since day one.....3 rides now!..Recycle, recycle we say. If EDU doesn't cut it one day....MR has picked up the slack and vice versa.  Late this week MR hit a new high 20.57. DJIM's Super Ninja's are sure to provide more excitement.

FSYS, this play is new and we think it can get some legs out of its report. We put an eye out on it early Friday morning in MC, its action perked up and we entered.Reported Q3 EPS of $0.22 vs -$0.63 in 3Q05; (est.$0.13c), revs rose 13% YoY to $55.4 mln vs.44.1 mln est. Co' raised 2006 rev guidance to at least $210 mln, up from previous guidance of $200 mln.  This alternate fuel segment needs some new trading blood, maybe Fuel Systems Solutions will be it.

AAON, we introduced this earning gem Wednesday morning. Not only did it take out the $25 we spoke of, it took on $26 Friday. Definitely, a A-Team member!

GLDN, we also introduced back some Russian blood with this Telecom/Internet provider. Volume has really picked over October and into early November with its earning release. 35% revenue growth, 40% net income YOY, 16% revenue, 7% net sequential growth.

RIMM, yep...we raised the RIMM flag as it became the 11th 25+% move in 12 weeks of DJIM. The action Thursday left it with a little toppy action. Every other day they seem to have a need to strike a blow into RIMM, Friday it was MOT's deal with Good Tech. This has been going on endlessly and RIMM just keeps making new highs. Nothing is wrong with RIMM for those wanting to play it out further, but we feel there are better chances of a finding another 25% move elsewhere...faster. We'll still keep a close eye on it as it's in the Constitution of Canada to do so;)

EFUT, is one we are trading as the Yahoo's are all over it. Definitely not for those that plan to have many bathroom breaks during the day.

It was just on Halloween that we took a cautious stance as many of the DJIM stocks felt toppy, by the close of Friday November 3rd we started to use up the cash with 6 or 7 buys. The names are changing, growing fast and furious during the past week. Buy the strength and don't sit on the UCTT's that are clearly lagging the uptrend.  Honestly, what are you waiting for?  You also have plenty of oil/energy names to rotate in and out of depending on the oil picture. If you have your DJIM list close by and have created a watchlist/buy list of these stocks, last week was a very fruitful one.  For more DJIM names read the commentary of the past week plus glance over the charts for ideas to trade.

Jon/ Demi

TRT EDU AAON ATNI ..okay AAON was only 25.99 ...just 3 more clean numbers for Super 7 Lotto tonight. ;)

EDU today at 29         AAON                           ATNI

Boy...this old song and dance is a bore. Have we not seen this before?.   Well, it wasn't too long ago, August 9th..the day after CSCO's shiny earnings that the Nasdaq did a 37 point dive off the top to the close.  Let's go through the two step today...early morning in MC we said.."P.S..a good time this morning to take some profits in your gaps".  Sometimes you are given a gift, unwrap it and leave.  We can't stress it enough here, take..lock in your points, profits. The Nasdaq proceeded to give up 30 points from highs to lows of the day.  It was just last night and many times before these names were profiled and /or talked about as trade bait on DJIM...from yesterdays close to their highs today, MR up 9.4%, RVBD 6%, DIVX 5.5%, BTJ 5%, SNCR 9.5%, SRVY 8.3%, EDU up 3%, RIMM 3%...10% since note in MC on the perfect conditions for a kick from 118's. Throw GDP 5% and even TRT from $12.70' alert time was a 10% ride to the close and yesterdays list glows.  If you're not taking profits of these type of gains, DJIM is not your bar!  

As per MC, we were ready to rotate more new found cash into more BTJ, GDP etc. This turned out to be no more than a intraday sector trade...they perked up quickly and just as fast gave it up. We did the same as the tide turned for the day, but the day was far from over as TRT, GMKT, GLDN (MC) were added along the way. The G's are earnings releases within the past 48hrs with charts that were looking for new highs while the market was selling off.

A few notes...

GROW- as per market chat comments,  we waited out the CC after a morning trade. This was too funny!. Is this a Asset management company or a PR firm?. We're sorry but taking 7+mln OS and turning it into 15mln shares via split is not going to lessen the "trading volatility" in GROW.  This is not the usual reasoning for a split and we can't believe GROW's team believes cheaper shares won't bring on those that like cheaper shares to trade. This stock has a reputation we've seen grow since the beginning, its not going away with a split. They are traders themselves, you know.  The fact they stated they have been on IBD #1 for 8 of 9 weeks is over the top. These guys should be promoters not Asset managers. The ironic kicker is they might need the extra shares to pull off the closing stunt today another day.  GROW was about to finish below the breakout point under $35, but then the painters came in and with a stroke of the brush made it a mid $35 close. The ugly candlestick was spared, but the smell of it all you can't hide with a paper bag.  We believe nothing will change with GROW the stock, it will remain a volatile trading stock and nothing more. Care should be taken with any position going forward, just like its always been recently.

TRT...what TRT gives out mid-quarter reports?;). Didn't we just introduce this at $8.50. Well...management gave a pleasant surprise with the unexpected early earnings release. We applaud this management, no doubt this was to stick a fork into the inside sellers side. You see there is a difference between the companies people selling and a Hedge fund aka Zeff doing the deed with a large stake in the co'.  We feel they were a little ticked off and today's early surprise was the pay back. This stock was almost ruined, now this DJIM stock has life again. We look forward to IBD refreshing the rating.

GLDN

GMKT

We also like the action in GMKT.   This co. reported earlier and we really like its action, much like SRVY action yesterday.

MR, pre earning run starting today in our opinion.

BTJ, this one wants to overtake GROW in IBD rating. lol   We are not arguing with its intention and we are trading along with it.

GROW, as much as you hate how the co. pumps their own stock this way, you have to agree that this action is nothing short of spectacular.

nice follow through across the board...  SRVY RVBD GDP DIVX

Beat sequentially as well

        -Just a follow up!    This goes to show that TRT is not a one quarter wonder.    It used to do 6 mil rev/q and now it's doing 10 mil rev/q.    If the trend continues and this thing should get an instant lift in valuation.      Also, IBD eps is at 75 and it may see an increase in that too, which gives another potential play down the road.

Float is awesome in this one and even if the Zeff dude start selling again, we don't think it'll matter that much.

we added aggressively today and will add more on weakness/strength

TRT near the close

http://djmarkets.squarespace.com/journal/2006/9/23/the-follow-up-on-trt.html

To add to the split, it's earnings bright and early tomorrow. Hard to believe it is already our second earnings go around with GROW at DJIM. This one is already a 25% member of DJIM.

http://djmarkets.squarespace.com/journal/2006/9/8/back-on-the-saddlegroweps-fnet-7s.html

http://djmarkets.squarespace.com/journal/2006/8/31/iaac-245-grow-2485-entry.htm

for the Democrats?   Or is it in this case for the DJIM followers? lol    So the last piece of news that caught our eyes isn't CSCO's superb earning or guidance, it's GROW's split announcement.    It's definitely not a good way to PR pump your $30 stock.   But hey, we are just mere mortals and if the announcement gives action, and action creates opportunity, we'll trade it.    Now to some real movers....

EDU, we don't know the reason why it jumped this much but we are glad that we held our shrs last few days and added promptly on the break of $26.   It pretty much gathered strength throughout the day as traders tried to play catch-up.    Can it break its old high?    It's definitely setup to do so and it'd be very interesting to see what happens after it does.

RVBD, is this a sympathy to CSCO's earning perhaps?  We think it probably will be come tomorrow.  Oh, it also broke out nicely today on good volume.

BTJ, OIH is definitely trying here.  This kind of sector move benefits some of the little ones the most.   There's also of course MEK and ALY and all three are running for various IBD100 spots coming this weekend.

TRT, a few readers emailed us on this former mover today and we think it has potential.   As we said many many times before, if the insiders stay out of selling, we can get some sustained movement up.   Believe it or not, those insiders always tend to pick the "best" time to kill its momentum.   Maybe they should run a short fund or something since their timing is just so impeccable.

RIMM, well, you can put this one in the book now.  Another 25% gainer for us (see DJ Archives) and it may not even stop here.  For a large cap where you can literally buy millions of dollars worth, this is not a bad return for a month of work.

SRVY, this one came out with earning this morning and what caught our eyes is the trading action.   The number may not seem spectacular but it's apparent that there are some who really like its story. Lehman for one who raised estimates immediately.

AAON, finished up at the high of the day. More below.

Other stocks that we are trading/watching today include recent DJIM stocks SNCR DIVX APLX AMIE FTEK plus GDP BIDU OMRI TRMS and CMT off earnings.

Not really...but it gives a good lesson.. a reminder of what we do with eps reports.

As it turned out, a heads up on APKT and SNCR together before earnings last night proved to be quite the example . Simply..we believe that the best money management is not holding into these calls.....Isn't just easier to recognize a good report, most importantly one that the market is happy with and go from there.  We also don't believe in chasing until the volume/trend tells us enough. Take yesterdays premarket notes on FTEK, BVX.   If you chase too early, you might end up on the wrong horse.    Back to holding into earnings..... Waking to a 20% drop in APKT or buying SNCR early, say low $11's and watching it go up another 10+%?....which will it be?.   Just like TWLL, SNCR was introduced early on the DJJournal...congrats to those that have held through after doing enough DD to realize these are more than short term trading tools. DJIM goal is to find this combination, a quality tradeable company with earnings. Something that attracts and fits, both the trader and longer term investor. 

If the trend continues, APKT will go through the same exercise DIVX and to a lesser extent RVBD has gone through.   We expect to see APKT back on the DJIM trading block very soon, maybe even tomorrow..lol

More on AAON from chat this am, the numbers were 64mln vs. 48 +33%. EPS .43c vs.22, this topped estimates of .35c.  Opened starter position early and will add if it breaks that congestion at $25. AMIE type stock..crawler

AAON daily

TRMS reported yesterday after close, the numbers very good off HIV med sales. More of a trade prospect as this works the EPS and story.

**MARKET CHAT

APKT did the pre earnings move we were hoping for last week in DIVX. We will exit before release, maybe it gets one last push into the close.  June Q was .09c on 19mln. CC 5pm.

* Past DJIM, SNCR also reports, June Q.05 on 17+mln.

http://djmarkets.squarespace.com/journal/2006/9/18/sncripo-at-10.html

yes it's true!   It now has 99, 97 rating according to IBD.   A fresh IBD100 momo play that is over $15. (15.20)   Scary?   I don't think we have seen anything yet.      It feels like the IBD play is the oldest thing in the book for us momo traders, but it actually never gets old actionwise.

NCH-New closing highs for a few DJIM stocks.....MR, RIMM, TWLL** this weekend note" Last Q had 2 straight days of a move after EPS.(beginning of Aug.)"

Market is still going through a consolidation phase, and it still means that the priority for us is the capital preservation.    However, it doesn't mean that we'll be shying away from good trading opportunities, and it'd be irresponsible if we don't trade them.      What we at DJIM here stress is that in a time like this, we'd only trade what we think are the best of the best setups and leave the iffy ones alone.    We also do keep our trading time frame per play to a conservative level where we'd take profit on small increments, a $1/point here and there and not get carried away with big positions on any one stock.   We can't wait for 25%+ DJIM benchmark these days, so taking 5 -10% quickly is fine with us.  This style is definitely more difficult to trade compared to riding a few big winners that can offset any small losses from other trades.   We are literally trying to basically do with only the most probable plays, with the least risk.   This comes in the form of stocks with a earnings base for DJIM.  We've heard that many traders around various chat room, blogs surprisingly under performed in October.  We're not sure the path they have taken but we've taken/followed the uptrend path here at DJIM.   Well, unfortunately this game isn't an easy business so only time can tell whether one is cut out to do this for a living, or not.    Here are some recent plays...

The week provided some nice intraday trades off our extended trading thread...CASM, LMRA back to back days in Market Chat.  The first 3 below were mentioned in pre market yesterday. The market survived the eco numbers and some of these provided nice entries off earnings.

TWLL....     This one gave us a little surprise late afternoon as it came on with strong volume and then some follow through, finishing with a NCH.   The earning action definitely looks very strong and we think it may catch some attention around the trading circle.  See more below on TWLL.

BRLC..surprisingly this one traded down to $7.01 after multiple upgrades, a healthy price target of $14 by BMurray after beating estimates handily....7c vs.1 c estimate, revenues climbed 3x.      How this one is going to trade is still remaining to be seen.    Usually when it gaps up like that with that kind of volume, you'd see some more upside down the road.

BRLC daily

SINA beat by .5, upped revenue G, multiple price upgrades in the morning and then closes gap to Thursdays close before EPS. That was a Friday morning gift to have a stock with so many positives only trade 1% higher in the morning.  If stocks that beat by .5, raise guidance and only move 1% up, we'd be out of the trading business real fast.!.  We'd be happy with a test of $30 here. The first two might have the better upside in the near term as far as collecting points, profits.

MR, stock had another nch(new closing high) on Friday and we are very encouraged by its action.   This stock is due to release its earning on Nov. 16th and we think there's going to be a pre-earning run-up play.     In last week's DJIM #11, we discussed the further play we were looking for after selling. Monday was a further drop and soon we were sitting on the 9ema ready for another move up.

PVA ..a  O&G/coal.....started to watch closely Thursday off earnings ($1.21 v 1.06). More below on Penn Virginia Cp.

BTJ, it seems a lot of the oil service stocks are perking up lately, there is always something to fuel it..yesterday was one of those days.  This one also made it to IBD100 as #19.   See last weeks DJIM wk #11 for our buy in below $16 , the play we were looking for and got Friday.   We are keeping an eye on ALY as well.

EDU, Chinese stocks immune to the pullback?  Perhaps!   We are certainly seeing strength in many of the Chinese stocks on our trading list.

RVBD, this is one of the techs that broke out on Friday, one of the few techs that are standing out in our opinion. We still can't decide between the APKT, RVBD, DIVX...IPO's.... all we know is they provide plenty of trading opp's at this time, figuring out which will be the champ longer term is anyone's guess. Right now..there is a new champ every week in this IPO tech game.

Speaking of champs, we threw out ATNI at the open mid week ...she was a champ going from $21 area to $24 for many DJIM readers in a few days. We took a lot off near $24 as it seemed a bit tired late in the week. The numbers look great and we look for more out of ATNI. This is a relatively unknown stock, we hope and by the early volume off earnings we think this may be on a few trading lists soon.

RIMM,APH,UCTT round out our lists.  As per BT's charts, ACOR proved it couldn't handle its weight. Looks like many were expecting something out of the CC to fuel it. It didn't happen and many sold off. Still we'll keep this one around DJIM and hope for a news spark.

SYNL, EML are two DJIM profiled quality EPS crawlers..these are for the ones that like their sleep.

So, it seems that we have quite a few new plays on our hand after cleaning house late October. We are basically trying to play the best setups and again keeping our time frame short.   Until the market mood improves or we get a great earnings winner, this is the way we are going to be trading.